秦巴山地西部地区2015—2018年大气污染物变化特征及潜在来源分析

为了研究我国南北过渡带西部地区大气污染物变化特征，选取了秦巴山地西部陇南市2015-2018年大气主要污染物监测资料和气象数据，分析了各污染物的浓度水平、变化特征及与气象条件的关系，并利用HYSPLIT后向轨迹模式分析了该地区污染物潜在来源（WPSCF和WCWT）.结果表明：4年来，秦巴山地西部地区空气环境质量较好，空气质量优良率达94.24%，6项大气污染物SO₂、NO₂、CO、O₃、PM_2.5、PM₁₀平均浓度分别为19.02、23.35、701.41、83.11、30.57、56.50 μg·m^-3，均未超过国家二级标准.PM₁₀是该地区首要污染物中天数最多的，达94 d.污染物SO₂、NO₂、CO、PM_2.5和PM₁₀的季节变化和日变化特征具有较好一致性，呈"U"型变化，O₃呈单峰型，在夏季和午后浓度到达高值.颗粒污染物PM₁₀、PM_2.5与气态污染物SO₂、NO₂、CO均呈现较好正相关，气温、降水量和风速风向对污染物浓度有较大的影响.该地区冬季空气质量明显差于其他季节，颗粒物浓度主要受供暖期化石燃料燃烧和外来气流的影响.     

1973-2018年布喀达坂峰地区前进冰川遥感监测

冰川跃动是冰川动力不稳定性的表现,影响着全球约1%的冰川。基于1973-2018年208景Landsat MSS/TM/ETM+/OLI遥感影像,对布喀达坂峰地区不同时期前进冰川进行遥感识别。结果表明：（1）1973-2018年布喀达坂峰地区共有7条冰川发生过前进,其中冰川末端快速退缩型冰川有3条,冰川末端波动前进型和冰川末端稳定型冰川各有2条。莫诺马哈冰川和5Y542H0020冰川可能为跃动冰川,且前者正处于跃动阶。（2）近45年间布喀达坂峰地区7条冰川共出现过25次前进现象,各条冰川发生前进次数均多于（含）2次;前进冰川发生时间主要集中于2000s（7次）和1970s（6次）。该地区冰川在各月份均发生过前进现象,推断该地区前进冰川属斯瓦尔巴型。布喀达坂峰地区冰川前进无明显规律,大多数冰川两次前进时间间隔为10年左右。（3）布喀达坂峰地区冰川前进可能受热控和水控机理共同作用,单一的气候变化尚难以解释其变化机理。     

Diagenesis of Upper Carboniferous rocks in the Ouachita foreland shelf in mid-continent USA: an overview of widespread effects of a Variscan-equivalent orogeny

Diagenesis of Upper Carboniferous foreland shelf rocks in southeastern Kansas took place at temperatures as high as 100–150° C at a depth of less than 2 km. High temperatures are the result of the long distance (hundreds of kilometers) advection of groundwater related to collisional orogeny in the Ouachita tectonic belt to the south. Orogenic activity in the Ouachita area was broadly Late Carboniferous, equivalent to the Variscan activity of Europe. Mississippi Valley-type Pb-Zn deposits and oil and gas fields in the US midcontinent and elsewhere are commonly attributed to regional groundwater flow resulting from such collisional events. This paper describes the diagenesis and thermal effects in sandstone and limestone of Upper Carboniferous siliciclastic and limestone-shale cyclothems, the purported confining layer of a supposed regional aquifer. Diagenesis took place in early, intermediate, and late stages. Many intermediate and late stage events in the sandstones have equivalents in the limestones, suggesting that the causes were regional. The sandstone paragenesis includes siderite cement (early stage), quartz overgrowths (intermediate stage), dissolution of feldspar and carbonates, followed by minor Fe calcite, pore-filling kaolinite and sub-poikilotopic Ca ankerite (late stage). The limestone paragenesis includes calcite cement (early stage); megaquartz, chalcedony, and Fe calcite spar (intermediate stage); and dissolution, Ca-Fe dolomite and kaolinite (late stage). The R _m value of vitrinite shows a regional average of 0.6–0.7%; Rock-Eval T _maX suggests a comparable degree of organic maturity. The T _h of aqueous fluid inclusions in late stage Ca-Fe-Mg carbonates ranges from 90 to 160° and T _mice indicates very saline water (>200000 ppm NaCl equivalent); ¹⁸O suggests that the water is of basinal origin. Local warm spots have higher R _m, T _max, and T _h. The results constrain numerical models of regional fluid migration, which is widely viewed as an artesian flow from recharge areas in the Ouachita belt across the foreland basin onto the foreland shelf area. Such models must account for heating effects that extend at least 500 km from the orogenic front and affect both supposed aquifer beds and the overlying supposed confining layer. Warm spots indicate either more rapid or more prolonged flow locally. T _h and T _mice data show the highest temperatures coincided with high salinity fluids.     

RAINGAGE NETWORK DESIGN USING NEXRAD PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES1

ABSTRACT: A general framework is proposed for using precipitation estimates from NEXRAD weather radars in raingage network design. NEXRAD precipitation products are used to represent space time rainfall fields, which can be sampled by hypothetical raingage networks. A stochastic model is used to simulate gage observations based on the areal average precipitation for radar grid cells. The stochastic model accounts for subgrid variability of precipitation within the cell and gage measurement errors. The approach is ideally suited to raingage network design in regions with strong climatic variations in rainfall where conventional methods are sometimes lacking. A case study example involving the estimation of areal average precipitation for catchments in the Catskill Mountains illustrates the approach. The case study shows how the simulation approach can be used to quantify the effects of gage density, basin size, spatial variation of precipitation, and gage measurement error, on network estimates of areal average precipitation. Although the quality of NEXRAD precipitation products imposes limitations on their use in network design, weather radars can provide valuable information for empirical assessment of rain‐gage network estimation errors. Still, the biggest challenge in quantifying estimation errors is understanding subgrid spatial variability. The results from the case study show that the spatial correlation of precipitation at subgrid scales (4 km and less) is difficult to quantify, especially for short sampling durations. Network estimation errors for hourly precipitation are extremely sensitive to the uncertainty in subgrid spatial variability, although for storm total accumulation, they are much less sensitive.     

Effects of climate and exurban development on nest predation and predator presence in the southern Appalachian Mountains (USA)

In the eastern United States, land-use and climate change have likely contributed to declines in the abundance of Neotropical migrant birds that occupy forest interiors, but the mechanisms are not well understood. We conducted a nest-predation experiment in southern Appalachian Mountain forests (North Carolina, U.S.A.) during the 2009 and 2010 breeding seasons to determine the effects of exurban development and temperature on predator presence and the average number of days until eggs in an artificial nest were disturbed by predators. We baited artificial nests with quail (Excalfactoria chinensi) eggs and monitored them for 18 days. We used clay eggs, track plates, and motion-triggered cameras to detect and identify nest predators. The average number of days a nest was undisturbed decreased as mean temperature increased and, to a lesser extent, as the density of buildings increased. Nests on the ground were more often depredated than those in trees, likely due to increased predation by opossum (Didelphis virginiana) and other carnivores. Raccoons (Procyon lotor), opossums, corvids (Corvus brachyrhynchos and Cyanocitta cristata), chipmunks (Tamias striatus), black bears (Ursus americanus), and domestic cats (Felis catus) were the most commonly detected predators. Presence of these predators did not vary as a function of mean temperature. Domestic cats and corvids were detected more frequently in plots with high rather than low densities of buildings. Forest-interior specialists and Neotropical migrants often nest in cool, high-elevation areas with low housing density. These bird species, especially those that nest on the ground, may be most vulnerable to increased nest predation if temperature and exurban development increase at higher elevations as anticipated.     

旅游干扰下五台山不同植被景观区物种多样性特征

利用双向指示种分析方法(Two-way indicator species analysis,TWINSPAN)和6个物种多样性指数,研究了旅游干扰下五台山不同植被景观区物种多样性的特征.结果表明:1)TWINSPAN将所有样地划分为9类植被景观区,从Ⅰ区到Ⅸ区,随着旅游干扰程度的增加,植被景观大致由乔灌草区向灌草区、草本区和居民区方向变化.2)乔木层物种的丰富度和综合多样性随着旅游干扰的减小而趋于增加,但是其均匀度没有表现出明显的规律性.3)灌木层物种的丰富度和综合多样性也随着旅游干扰的减小而趋于增加,至于其均匀度,则呈现出在中度干扰下值最大,干扰很小的地方次之,在重度干扰下则最小.4)草本层物种的丰富度、均匀度和综合多样性指数均在旅游干扰适度的地方达到了最大值,在旅游干扰很小的地方,各种值则次之,在干扰严重的地方为最小.5)从整个植被层物种多样性的角度看,随着旅游干扰程度的减少,物种丰富度指数、均匀度指数和综合多样性指数均呈现趋于增加的趋势.表4参15     

基于InVEST模型的伏牛山地区生态系统碳储量时空变化模拟

在生态文明建设高质量的发展环境下,探究国土空间规划视角下土地利用合理规划与碳减排关系有重大现实意义.山地生态系统作为自然、社会和经济的综合生态系统,对区域生态环境质量提高和可持续发展具有重要影响.以河南省伏牛山区为研究对象,采用InVEST与CA-Markov模型预测2000～2030年多情景下伏牛山生态系统碳储量的时空分布差异.结果表明：(1) 2000～2020年,伏牛山地耕地和林地大面积减少,水域和建设用地增加.自然增长情景下耕地持续减少;耕地保护情境下耕地面积减少速度得到有效缓解;生态保护情景下,林地草地面积得到了有效保护.(2) 2000～2020年,伏牛山地生态系统碳储量减少2.62×106 t;自然增长情景下,生态系统碳储量持续减少;耕地保护情景稍有缓解;生态保护措施有效缓解了碳损失.(3)碳储量随海拔升高呈驼峰状变化,随着坡度升高而呈现增加的趋势.因此,在未来伏牛山地区国土空间规划中,可综合考虑生态保护与耕地保护情景,在增加碳储量的同时也保证了粮食生产.     

西大别山百战坪黄山松径向生长对气候因子的响应

研究基于标准的树轮年代学研究方法（样芯经固定、晾干、打磨、交叉定年、测量和标准化等处理）,首次建立了大别山西部的黄柏山百战坪的黄山松树轮宽度标准年表。研究发现,黄山松宽度年表有较高的信噪比SNR和样本解释总量EPS,表明树轮宽度年表中含有较多的气候信息,适合做树轮气候学研究。树轮宽度年表与气象因子关系的研究结果显示,黄山松树轮宽度与上一年10月、12月及当年的5月至9月的气温（包括月均最高气温、月均温和月均最低气温）呈较高的负相关,且在上一年的12月和当年7月月均最高气温和月均温的限制作用较强,而上一年10月月均温限制作用最大,这表明上一年生长季末和当年生长季中的高温通过对水分的影响限制黄山松的生长。树轮指数与当年2月、4月至7月的月降水及月相对湿度（6月份除外）均呈较高正相关,说明在进入生长期前后充足水分对黄山松生长有促进作用,但当降水或相对湿度过大时（如上年8月与当年6月）对黄山松生长就起到一定的限制作用。本研究结果填补了大别山西段树木年轮研究的空白,为该区域树木年轮气候重建研究提供参考和基础数据,也为黄柏山自然保护区今后的森林培育和森林管理提供了一定的理论依据。     

基于GIS的祁连山植被NDVI对气温降水的旬响应分析

利用祁连山地区SPOTVGT-NDVI数据和气象站点旬平均气温、降水资料,运用最大化合成、趋势线分析和相关分析方法分析了祁连山植被的时空变化趋势,并从旬时间尺度上分析了祁连山植被对气温和降水的响应特征。结果表明:近10年来,祁连山年最大化植被NDVI增加了3.1%,植被改善、无变化和退化的面积分别占总面积的70.21%、21.44%和8.35%。祁连山植被NDVI对气温变化的响应大于降水,对气温和降水变化的最大响应滞后都为2旬左右。秋季植被NDVI对气温和降水变化响应最大,夏季植被NDVI对气温和降水响应的滞后期长于春季和秋季。祁连山植被NDVI对气温和降水变化的旬最大响应表现为中段大于东段和西段,NDVI对气温和降水变化的最大响应滞后期呈现出西段中段东段的空间分布特征。     

长白山不同生态系统地下部分生物量及地下C贮量的调查

论文在收集已有资料的基础上,补充调查了长白山自然保护区中沿不同海拔高度形成的不同森林生态系统的细根生物量和一些森林类型的根系总生物量,并且对自然环境因子对根系生物量的影响进行了相关分析。研究表明,由高海拔到低海拔(岳桦林、苔藓岳桦暗针叶林、暗针叶林过渡带、苔藓红松暗针叶林、红松针阔混交林)树木细根(<2mm)生物量分别是458.92gm^-2、537.42gm^-2、390.35gm^-2、397.25gm^-2和660.21gm^-2;根系总生物量分别是2578.00gm^-2、2794.00gm^-2、2680.00gm^-2、3459.25gm^-2和5155.00gm^-2。分别对细根生物量和根系总生物量与降水量和活动积温之间进行相关性分析时,发现细根生物量与不同海拔高度的活动积温和降水量没有明显的相关性;而根系生物量与这些因子存在着指数相关关系。该研究同时对不同海拔高度根系中的C、N含量和土壤中有机质的含量进行了分析和测定。结合已有的倒木和凋落物的资料,估算了长白山自然保护区中沿不同海拔高度形成的不同森林生态系统地下C的贮量。在长白山自然保护区内,由高海拔到低海拔,林地C贮量分别是15493.88gm^-2、21005.74gm^-2、19819.24gm^-2、14232.51gm^-2和7344.02gm^-2。